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20 Oct

bleacher report's expert consensus week 4 nfl picks

But those wins were against the Cincinnati Bengals and the Washington Football Team, so we still have no idea whether the Browns are any good, which gives the Cowboys the edge here.". They’re down to their third tight end, and there’s no telling what they’ll get from Henry and quarterback Marcus Mariota on a weekly basis. The last 18 home favorites are 13-4-1 against the spread in Thursday games, and a home underdog won straight up in convincing fashion when the Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Tennessee Titans 20-7 last Thursday night. "I don't know that Cincinnati will win this game outright, but it wouldn't be much of a surprise for one prevailing reason: The Atlanta defense has been devastated by injuries. "Another cardinal rule of picking ATS in the NFL is that double-digit spreads are bad luck," Davenport said. And as Davenport noted, Miami hung with the superior Dallas Cowboys for a few quarters last week. Now it looks as though the Steelers will again be without Conner in a matchup with the NFL’s top-rated run defense. When those two points intersect, a tight contest will ensue on the national stage.". 0 of 16. Two winless, completely decimated teams meet to kick off the week Thursday night. "Laying a touchdown against the Patriots is admittedly a bit unsettling," Davenport said, "even after all the changes the franchise has undergone in 2020. Indianapolis stumbled in Week 1 against the Jacksonville Jaguars, which might explain why it's laying less than a field goal in an empty stadium.". Green Bay has opened the season at 2-0 with wins over divisional foes Detroit and Minnesota. PredictionsDavenport: Denver (-2.5)Gagnon: Oakland (+2.5)Sobleski: Denver (-2.5)Consensus: Denver (-2.5), Your email address will not be published. Rick Scuteri/Associated Press. So it wasn’t hard for our analysts to get behind the Minnesota Vikings for Sunday’s matchup between the NFC North rivals, especially considering the jolt the Vikings appeared to get last week from an offensive coordinator change. Not only have four of this season's five double-digit favorites failed to cover but three have also lost outright. But even with only 2.5 points in the Saints' back pocket, our crew is still leaning New Orleans' way. He is also a singer and film producer. The Washington Redskins were a mess at home on Monday Night Football, and now they're running into a hot new quarterback on short rest on the road. "They might be desperate enough to keep this close against a familiar opponent, and you have to account for potential growing pains from Jones. “Denver isn’t good, but the Raiders are so much worse, especially defensively. Goff has been efficient on deep throws and nearly perfect in crunch time, the varied running game has been a hit, and although the defense isn't what it used to be, Aaron Donald remains a force. Against the Bengals. Bleacher Report's Expert Consensus Week 4 NFL Picks. "Sean McVay and Jared Goff deserve a lot of credit," Gagnon said. Plus, it’ll be difficult for the Steelers to maintain the same level of intensity they had this past Sunday against the Patriots.”. Your email address will not be published. They should be highly motivated, and talented backup Teddy Bridgewater was superb in Seattle. "New Orleans is struggling, but receiver Michael Thomas returned to practice this week, and the Saints offense will rebound if he can go Sunday.". The Browns had a chance to beat the Los Angeles Rams last week even though their entire starting secondary was injured. Jamie Lynn Spears started her career as an actor, making her debut with the Paramount Pictures drama film, ‘Crossroads’. Some lines just scream "PUSH," and that's what our crew is essentially saying with a split vote on the Buffalo Bills laying a field goal against the Las Vegas Raiders in Nevada. The Cleveland defense is legit, and Mayfield looked like he might be too in his debut against the Jets. The San Francisco 49ers are 3-1 in their last four home games, with that lone loss coming by just four points. "Let's get one thing straight: This pick says nothing good about the Dolphins," Davenport said. The difference? Cleveland has tripled that number with two to play. criação website. Still, Gagnon isn't buying it. Share. That's something to be wary of, especially considering that New England is shorthanded in its receiving corps and along the offensive line for Sunday's matchup with the 3-0 Buffalo Bills. PredictionsDavenport: CincinnatiGagnon: JacksonvilleKahler: JacksonvilleMiller: CincinnatiSobleski: JacksonvilleTesfatsion: JacksonvilleConsensus: Jacksonville +3. It's true. That rookie quarterback is Josh Allen, who has over 500 rushing yards but has completed just 52.2 percent of his passes and has six touchdown throws to nine interceptions. And our analysts believe that's a steal. "This isn't a pick I'm particularly confident in," Davenport said. PredictionsDavenport: Kansas City (-5)Gagnon: Kansas City (-5)Sobleski: Kansas City (-5)Consensus: Kansas City (-5), Score Prediction: Kansas City 34, Denver 23, which could be susceptible to a backdoor underdog cover—. Here's where they stand through three weeks (season records in parentheses). Throw in the injury to Texans running back Lamar Miller, and the Eagles look like the pick with less than a field goal to worry about. That’s unlikely to change here, and 13 points may not be enough. And while the Eagles defense presents a different challenge than the Jets, Philly still ranks in the bottom 10 in terms of DVOA against the pass. View Week 6 NFL Point Spreads from 100+ experts. And they’ve lost three of those six away games by at least eight points. "This might not be as challenging overall as playing Kansas City on the road, but there's little reason to think this won't be a close game. But we don't have a unanimous consensus because of Davenport, and it's worth noting that he beat his two colleagues with a 133-116-7 record ATS in 2018. 'The Patriots will come out with something to prove after an embarrassing loss to the Lions,'" Gagnon said. After all, the Giants are coming off a horrendous loss, while the Colts are coming off an impressive win. Carolina's pass defense is much worse than Detroit's in terms of DVOA. If the Atlanta defense was able to have a field day against Josh Rosen, it sure as hell could provide an encore performance against Taylor Heinicke—an undrafted 25-year-old with five career pass attempts. This game has the same feel—high-scoring and close.". Early in this strange and unpredictable NFL season, bettors have been getting sweet revenge on the house. That might be the logic behind the majority of our panel taking the Jacksonville Jaguars and the points in one of Sunday's least intriguing matchups. Note: The Pittsburgh Steelers-Tennessee Titans game originally scheduled for Sunday has been postponed due to several cases of COVID-19 within the Titans organization. Both teams stunk while working without their starting quarterbacks last season, but the Indianapolis Colts still beat the Houston Texans by six or more points in both of their meetings.

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